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How long SSDs and hard drives last and how often they fail: Backblaze's 1.36% a year, field studies, TBW ratings, external drives and the myths, sourced.
Sources: Backblaze (2026, 2022); Carnegie Mellon University; USENIX, Proceedings of the 18th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; ACM / IEEE, Proceedings of the International Conference; ACM, Proceedings of the 9th ACM International Systems and Storage Conference; heise online / c't magazin; Forbes
How long does an SSD last, how often do hard drives fail, and which lasts longer? The answers usually given, three to five years for a hard drive and five to ten for an SSD, have no study behind them. This page collects what has been measured: the failure counts Backblaze has published for its data-centre drives since 2013, the field studies of Google, Carnegie Mellon, Microsoft, NetApp and Alibaba, retailers' and recovery labs' records, the makers' ratings and the tests that wrote drives until they died, each with its measure, its date and its source. It also says where nothing has been measured, as for external drives and home PCs.
Hard drives in a cloud company's data centres failed at an annualized 1.36% in 2025, across 344,196 drives (Backblaze, 2026).

| Fleet, measure and year | Rate |
|---|---|
| Backblaze: lifetime rate of the drives in service, mid-2026 | 1.41% |
| Backblaze: its first fleet-wide count, 2013 | 4.2% |
| Carnegie Mellon: a supercomputer cluster over five years | 3.4% |
| Carnegie Mellon: the worst system it studied | up to 13% |
| Microsoft cloud servers: drives replaced a year, 2010 | 2.7% |
| Microsoft Azure: drives turning faulty a day, 2018 | 3 in 10,000 a day |
| NetApp backup systems: SATA drives, 2008 | 1.9% |
| 380,000 drives at 64 data-centre sites, 2020 | 1.36% |
| Two large web properties: SCSI drives replaced a year, 2005 | 6.0% |
| Alibaba Cloud: the 15 largest drive models, 2019 | under 1% (10 of 15 models) |
Sources: Backblaze (2013-2026); Carnegie Mellon University; Rutgers University, GoDaddy and Microsoft; The Chinese University of Hong Kong and Alibaba; Microsoft Research (2010, 2005); Microsoft Research and Microsoft Azure, with the University of Newcastle and Nankai University; University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and NetApp; Wayne State University and Northeastern University
Related guides: Windows detected a hard disk problem · A hard drive with bad sectors · Back up your entire computer
The measured answer comes from large fleets: Backblaze's data centres, which have published every drive failure since 2013, and the studies of Google, Carnegie Mellon, Microsoft, NetApp and Alibaba. In most of them a hard drive's yearly chance of failing is in the low single digits, and well above the rates on the makers' datasheets. A rate describes a population: it cannot say when one drive will fail.




Sources: Backblaze (2014-2026); Carnegie Mellon University (2007, 2020); University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and NetApp; Microsoft Research (2005, 2010); Rutgers University, GoDaddy and Microsoft; Wayne State University and Northeastern University; The Chinese University of Hong Kong and Alibaba; Microsoft Research and Microsoft Azure, with the University of Newcastle and Nankai University; USENIX, Proceedings of the 2019 USENIX Annual Technical Conference; Gartner (2006); USENIX, Proceedings of the 18th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; USENIX, Proceedings of the 2022 USENIX Annual Technical Conference; ACM / IEEE, Proceedings of the International Conference; IEEE, Transactions on Dependable and Secure Computing, vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 256-270
About 90% of the hard drives in a fleet of over 200,000 data-centre drives had lasted four years (Backblaze, 2021).

| Source, measure and date | Figure |
|---|---|
| Still working after four years, 2013 data | 78% |
| Expected to be working at six years, October 2021 analysis | 88% |
| Median life, December 2021 estimate (extrapolated) | 6 years 9 months |
| Median life, 2013 projection | over 6 years |
| Failure rate in the first year of service, 2025 data | under 1.30% |
| Average age of the drives that had failed, 2024 | 2 years 10 months |
| Age at which working drives were replaced by denser ones, 2018 | about 4 years |
| Google: failure rate in the first year, 2007 | 1.7% |
| Google: failure rate at three years, 2007 | 8.6% |
| Carnegie Mellon: replacement rates by year of use, 2007 | about 2x |
Sources: Backblaze (2013-2025); Carnegie Mellon University (2020, 2007); Google
Related guides: An old hard drive to a new PC · A broken or dead computer · Windows detected a hard disk problem
No study has followed home PCs' drives to the end, so the measured answers come from data centres and from the drives sent to recovery labs. Backblaze's survival counts show most of its hard drives outliving four years, and the age at which failures peak has moved later since 2013. The textbook bathtub curve, many early failures then a long quiet stretch, did not show up in the largest studies; the average age of drives that failed is a different measure from how long drives last.



Sources: Backblaze (2013-2026); Secure Data Recovery Services (2023, 2026); Carnegie Mellon University (2007, 2020); EMC Corporation and Datrium; Hardware.fr; Japan Data Technology; Google
0.22% of enterprise SSDs at one storage maker's customers were replaced a year, 2017 to 2019 (Maneas et al., 2020).

| Fleet, measure and date | Figure |
|---|---|
| Alibaba: NVMe SSDs replaced a year, 2019-2020 | 0.98% (median 0.69%) |
| Alibaba: 3D-TLC SATA SSDs, 2018-2019 | over 3% (3.29%, 3.92%) |
| Microsoft: field failures above the makers' specification | up to 70% above spec |
| Google: swapped at least once in six years | 11.3% (6.95-14.3%) |
| Google: failures in the first 90 days | 25% in the first 90 days |
| NetApp: how long early failures lasted | 12-15 months |
| NetApp: earliest firmware against latest | up to 10x |
| Backblaze: average age of its failed SSD boot drives | 14 months |
| Tencent: Samsung enterprise NVMe SSDs, rough estimate | under 0.2% a year |
| Puget Systems: Kingston KC3000 NVMe SSDs, 2024 | 0.08% |
Sources: USENIX, Proceedings of the 18th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; ACM / IEEE, Proceedings of the International Conference; USENIX, Proceedings of the 19th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; USENIX, Proceedings of the 14th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; Puget Systems (2026, 2025); USENIX, Proceedings of the 2022 USENIX Annual Technical Conference; ACM, Proceedings of the 9th ACM International Systems and Storage Conference; Backblaze; USENIX, Proceedings of the 21st USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; Intel Corporation, on Intel's own fleet and Intel's own SSD product
Related guides: A new PC with an SSD · Clone or transfer
SSD fleets in data centres fail or are replaced at rates of about a fifth of a percent to just over one percent a year, and almost never because they wore out their rated writes: in every study the drives used a small part of their endurance before they failed or were retired. Failures cluster early in some fleets and not in others, and a drive's model, firmware and capacity matter more than its age. Client data is scarce: Intel's laptops, Backblaze's boot drives and one workstation builder's records.






Sources: USENIX, Proceedings of the 14th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; ACM, Proceedings of the 9th ACM International Systems and Storage Conference; USENIX, Proceedings of the 18th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; USENIX, Proceedings of the 19th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; USENIX, Proceedings of the 2022 USENIX Annual Technical Conference; ACM / IEEE, Proceedings of the International Conference; USENIX, Proceedings of the 21st USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; ACM, Proceedings of the 2015 ACM SIGMETRICS International Conference on Measurement and Modeling of Computer Systems; Backblaze (2022, 2023); Puget Systems (2013-2026)
SSD boot drives failed at 0.92% a year in year five, against 3.55% for same-age hard drives (Backblaze, 2022).

| Source, measure and date | Figure |
|---|---|
| Backblaze boot drives at about 12 months: hard drives | 1.54% |
| Backblaze SSD boot drives at 14 months | 1.05% |
| Backblaze hard-drive boot drives at 14 months | 1.38% |
| French retailer: SSDs returned, late 2012 to early 2013 sales | 1.27% |
| French retailer: hard drives returned, same sales | 1.07% |
| Puget Systems: Samsung SATA SSDs failed, 2018 | 0.11% |
| Puget Systems: hard drives failed, 2018 | 0.34% |
| Alibaba: SSDs' share of hardware failure tickets | 5.6% vs 22.1% (HDD) |
| Google SSDs set against Backblaze hard drives over six years (different fleets) | 11.3% (SSD) vs 7.0% (HDD) |
| Microsoft: SSD cost per GB against hard drives, 2016 | 4x to 40x |
Sources: Backblaze (2022, 2021a, 2021b); Intel Corporation, on Intel's own fleet and Intel's own SSD product; Hardware.fr (2013, 2012); Puget Systems (2019, 2016); ACM, Proceedings of the 9th ACM International Systems and Storage Conference; USENIX, Proceedings of the 2022 USENIX Annual Technical Conference; USENIX, Proceedings of the 2019 USENIX Annual Technical Conference; IEEE, Transactions on Dependable and Secure Computing, vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 256-270
Related guides: A new PC with an SSD · Clone or transfer
Where the same organisation ran both, SSDs failed less often than hard drives of the same age: Backblaze's boot drives, Intel's laptops and a workstation builder's records all point the same way. The comparisons that set one company's SSDs against another company's hard drives, or drives of different ages, do not hold up. SSDs fail differently: more often by vanishing or locking up, rarely by wearing out.


Sources: Backblaze (2021, 2022, 2023); Puget Systems (2014-2019); Intel Corporation, on Intel's own fleet and Intel's own SSD product; USENIX, Proceedings of the 14th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies (2016); ACM, Proceedings of the 9th ACM International Systems and Storage Conference; USENIX, Proceedings of the 2019 USENIX Annual Technical Conference; IEEE, Transactions on Dependable and Secure Computing, vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 256-270; Hardware.fr (2010-2015)
Western Digital drives failed at 0.60% a year over their service lives in one cloud fleet, HGST's at 1.96% (Backblaze, 2026).

| Model, measure and date | Figure |
|---|---|
| WDC 22TB (WUH722222ALE6L4), 2025: lowest | 0.47% |
| Seagate 16TB (ST16000NM001G), 2025 | 0.54% |
| HGST 12TB (HUH721212ALN604), 2025 | 3.95% |
| Toshiba 16TB (MG08ACA16TEY), 2025, inflated by firmware pulls | 6.30% |
| WDC 14TB (WUH721414ALE6L4), lifetime | 0.54% |
| Toshiba 14TB (MG07ACA14TA), lifetime | 1.07% |
| HGST 4TB: expected to be working at six years | 97% |
| Seagate 4TB: expected to be working at six years | 81% |
| Seagate Barracuda 7200.11 500GB: returned to a French retailer, 2009 | 39% |
| OCZ Octane 128GB SSD: returned to a French retailer, 2012 | 52.07% |
Sources: Backblaze (2015-2026); University of Essex and Sungkyunkwan University; Hardware.fr (2017, 2013, 2010)
Related guides: An old hard drive to a new PC · A new PC with an SSD
Brand rankings change with the models a fleet buys: every maker has had good and bad models. In Backblaze's fleet, where every drive works the same way, Western Digital's current drives have failed least and HGST's ageing drives most, while a 2026 academic analysis of the same data that held age, capacity and temperature constant found HGST's drives the least likely to fail. At a large French retailer, the four brands still sold in 2016 came back faulty at about one percent. The model matters more than the brand.






Sources: Backblaze (2013-2026); University of Essex and Sungkyunkwan University; Seagate Technology (2022, 2026); Western Digital (2023, 2025); Toshiba Electronics Europe; Hardware.fr (2003-2017); Gillware Data Recovery
23.3% of failed hard drives in a cloud fleet gave no warning in its five watched SMART attributes (Backblaze, 2016).

| Source and measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| Backblaze: failed drives that showed a SMART warning | 76.7% |
| Backblaze: working drives showing the same warning | 4.2% |
| Google: failed drives with none of the four strongest signals | over 56% |
| Google: after a first reallocated sector | over 14x |
| IBM: replacements predicted a month ahead from SMART data | 73-75% |
| Microsoft: SSDs with a SMART symptom against those without | 3x to 20x |
| Google: failed SSDs with no errors or bad blocks first | 26% |
| A US recovery lab: failed drives with no pending sectors | 30.5% |
| Google: an SSD's chance of another uncorrectable error the next month | nearly 30% vs 2% |
| NetApp: drives that developed unreadable sectors in 32 months | 3.45% |
Sources: Backblaze; ACM, Proceedings of the 9th ACM International Systems and Storage Conference; Google; NetApp and University of Wisconsin-Madison; EMC Corporation and Datrium; IBM Research Zurich; ACM / IEEE, Proceedings of the International Conference; Secure Data Recovery Services; USENIX, Proceedings of the 14th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies
Related guides: Windows detected a hard disk problem · A hard drive with bad sectors
Often, but not reliably. SMART, the self-monitoring every drive reports, flags most failing drives in advance, and a drive's first bad sector or scan error multiplies its chance of failing soon. But in every large study a quarter to two fifths of the drives that failed gave no warning at all, for hard drives and SSDs alike.


Sources: Backblaze (2014, 2016); Google; EMC Corporation and Datrium; IBM Research Zurich; NetApp and University of Wisconsin-Madison; University of Wisconsin-Madison, NetApp and University of Toronto; University of Toronto, with Google data; University of Toronto and Microsoft Research; Rutgers University, GoDaddy and Microsoft; USENIX, Proceedings of the 14th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; ACM, Proceedings of the 2015 ACM SIGMETRICS International Conference on Measurement and Modeling of Computer Systems; ACM, Proceedings of the 9th ACM International Systems and Storage Conference; USENIX, Proceedings of the 18th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; USENIX, Proceedings of the 2019 USENIX Annual Technical Conference
Each extra 1 °C of drive temperature raised the failure rate by 2.1%, across 443,156 data-centre drives (University of Essex, 2026).

| Source and finding | Figure |
|---|---|
| Backblaze: correlation of temperature and failure, 2014 | 0.0 |
| Toronto: rise in monthly failures per degree, 2012 | 0.001 points per °C |
| Microsoft: controller or connection failures at a humid site | 66% |
| Carnegie Mellon: two failures within an hour, against the model | 4x |
| Facebook: the second SSD in a server failed too | 39.8-59.9% |
| NetApp: a second SSD replaced in the same RAID group within a week | 9.39% (over 180x normal) |
| Backblaze: drives in older against newer storage servers | 0.99% |
| Microsoft: the same SSD model in two server designs | 14x |
| Gillware: recovery cases with a mechanical failure | 48.7% |
| ING, Bucharest: data centre offline after a fire-suppression test | 10 hours |
Sources: University of Essex and Sungkyunkwan University; Rutgers University, GoDaddy and Microsoft; Google; EMC Corporation and Datrium; Siemens AG, released; Secure Data Recovery Services; Backblaze (2024, 2014); University of Toronto, with Google data; Carnegie Mellon University; ACM, Proceedings of the 2015 ACM SIGMETRICS International Conference on Measurement and Modeling of Computer Systems; USENIX, Proceedings of the 18th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; ACM, Proceedings of the 9th ACM International Systems and Storage Conference; Gillware Data Recovery; Motherboard, quoting ING Bank Romania's press release and spokeswoman
Related guides: Windows detected a hard disk problem · Back up to an external hard drive
Heat, humidity, heavy use and the server around a drive all moved failure rates in the large studies, though not always in the expected direction: in Google's data young drives failed more when cool. Failures also come in batches, since drives bought together tend to fail together. Recovery labs, which see the drives people send them, find mostly physical damage: failed heads, bad sectors and damaged platters.

Sources: Backblaze (2014-2024); University of Toronto, with Google data; Rutgers University, GoDaddy and Microsoft; University of Essex and Sungkyunkwan University; ACM, Proceedings of the 2015 ACM SIGMETRICS International Conference on Measurement and Modeling of Computer Systems; USENIX, Proceedings of the 2019 USENIX Annual Technical Conference; Google; ACM, Proceedings of the 9th ACM International Systems and Storage Conference; USENIX, Proceedings of the 19th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; Carnegie Mellon University; Oak Ridge National Laboratory; USENIX, Proceedings of the 18th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; Siemens AG, released; Motherboard, quoting ING Bank Romania's press release and spokeswoman; The Register; University of Wisconsin-Madison, NetApp and University of Toronto; The Chinese University of Hong Kong and Alibaba; University of Chicago and NetApp; Gillware Data Recovery; Secure Data Recovery Services; Payam Data Recovery; Ontrack; DeepSpar Data Recovery Systems
A Samsung 850 Pro 256 GB SSD wrote about 9.1 PB before failing, 60 times its rating (c't, 2017).

| Drive or source and measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| Samsung 990 PRO 2 TB | 1,200 TBW |
| Samsung 990 PRO 4 TB | 2,400 TBW |
| Samsung 860 PRO 1 TB (older model) | 1,200 TBW |
| Samsung 850 PRO 1 TB (older model, ten-year warranty) | 10 years |
| Micron 7450 PRO data-centre SSD | 1 DWPD |
| Intel SSD 320: its assumed writes a day, 2011 | up to 20 GB a day |
| What Sandisk says a home user writes a day (no measurement cited) | 20-40 GB a day |
| JEDEC: SSDs allowed to fail by the end of their rated endurance | 3% |
| c't: flash past its specified write cycles | 3 to 30 times |
| Google: rated write cycles its MLC SSDs had used | 18-32% of rated wear (MLC) |
Sources: heise online / c't magazin (2021, 2017); The Tech Report (2015a, 2015b); USENIX, Proceedings of the 20th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; Samsung Electronics (2026, 2022); Intel Corporation; Crucial, Kingston, Samsung, Sandisk, SK hynix; Micron Technology; Sandisk; JEDEC Solid State Technology Association; USENIX, Proceedings of the 14th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies
Related guides: A new PC with an SSD · Clone or transfer
Every SSD is rated for a total amount of data written, its TBW, which is the limit of its warranty rather than a forecast of its death. Write-to-death tests ran drives far past their ratings, and in data centres drives used a small part of their rated endurance before they were retired. Nobody publishes how much a typical PC writes in a year: the makers' assumptions are all there is.





Sources: The Tech Report; heise online / c't magazin (2017, 2021); Samsung Electronics (2022, 2026); Sandisk (2026); Crucial (2021, 2026); Kingston Technology (2024, 2025, 2026); SK hynix; Crucial, Kingston, Samsung, Sandisk, SK hynix; JEDEC Solid State Technology Association (2010, 2026); Micron Technology; Lexar Enterprise; USENIX, Proceedings of the 14th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; ACM, Proceedings of the 2015 ACM SIGMETRICS International Conference on Measurement and Modeling of Computer Systems; USENIX, Proceedings of the 18th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; USENIX, Proceedings of the 20th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; USENIX, Proceedings of the 19th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; USENIX, Proceedings of the 2022 USENIX Annual Technical Conference; ACM / IEEE, Proceedings of the International Conference; Intel Corporation; Western Digital
Drives typically achieve 50% to 60% of their projected MTBF in the field, counting all returns (Seagate, 2026).

| Drive line and rating | Rating |
|---|---|
| Seagate BarraCuda (desktop): warranty | 2 years |
| Seagate IronWolf Pro (NAS): warranty | 5 years |
| Seagate IronWolf Pro: MTBF, 2025 | 2.5 million hours MTBF |
| Seagate IronWolf Pro: MTBF, 2020 | 1.2 million hours MTBF (0.73% AFR) |
| WD Gold (air-filled): MTBF | 2 million hours MTBF (0.44% AFR) |
| Toshiba MG11 (enterprise): MTTF | 2.5 million hours MTTF (0.35% AFR) |
| Seagate BarraCuda: unrecoverable read errors | 1 per 10^14 bits |
| Seagate IronWolf Pro: unrecoverable read errors | 1 per 10^15 bits |
| Seagate: temperatures that reduce reliability | Above 50°C or below 5°C |
| Crucial MX500: MTTF labelled 'Life Expectancy' | 1.8 million hours MTTF |
Sources: Seagate Technology (2015-2026); Carnegie Mellon University; Western Digital (2026, 2025, 2022); Toshiba Electronic Devices & Storage Corporation; Crucial; Samsung Electronics
Related guides: Back up your entire computer · Back up to an external hard drive
MTBF, mean time between failures, is a population rating: it says what share of a large group of drives running around the clock should fail in a year, not how long one drive will last. The makers' own pages say so, and field studies found real failure rates well above the rated ones. Desktop drives often carry no MTBF at all, assume part-time use and come with two-year warranties; NAS and enterprise drives are rated for more hours, more data and longer warranties.



Sources: Carnegie Mellon University; Seagate Technology (2015-2026); Samsung Electronics (2021, 2022); Kingston Technology; SK hynix; Crucial (2021, 2026); Western Digital (2022, 2024, 2025); Toshiba Electronics Europe (2025, 2026); Toshiba Electronic Devices & Storage Corporation; Microsoft Research; JEDEC Solid State Technology Association
60.8% of failed external hard drives sent to one US recovery lab had run under a year (Secure Data Recovery, 2026).

| Drive or sample and measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| WD My Passport (hard drive): warranty | 3 years |
| Samsung T9 (SSD): warranty | 5 years |
| SanDisk Extreme Portable (SSD): warranty | 5 years |
| LaCie Rugged: data recovery service included | 3 years of data recovery |
| Samsung T7: drop rating (drop damage not covered) | 2 m |
| LaCie Rugged: drop rating, not running | 1.2 m (4 ft) |
| WD My Passport: operating temperature | 5°C to 35°C |
| Failed external drives that had run under six months | 49.6% |
| Failed external drives with no bad-sector warning | 27.2% |
| Japan Data Technology: external drives among recovery requests, 2009 | 32.3% |
Sources: Secure Data Recovery Services; Data Recovery Association of Japan; Backblaze; Seagate Technology; Western Digital; Samsung Electronics (2026, 2024); Sandisk Corporation; LaCie; Japan Data Technology
Related guides: Back up to an external hard drive · Transfer with a USB drive
No maker or fleet operator publishes failure rates for external drives: the only measured data comes from the recovery labs they are sent to, and those labs see failures, not survivors. In those samples external drives tend to fail young, with drops, power surges and heat among the leading causes. The makers' warranties run one to five years, and differ by region and model.


Sources: Secure Data Recovery Services; Japan Data Technology; Western Digital (2026); Samsung Electronics (2024, 2026); LaCie; Backblaze; Data Recovery Association of Japan; Seagate Technology (2019, 2020, 2025); Sandisk Corporation
A worn-out consumer SSD must keep data 1 year unpowered at 30 °C, by the standard (JEDEC, 2010).

| Source and measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| Worn consumer SSD stored at 25 °C (JEDEC table) | 105 weeks |
| Worn consumer SSD stored at 40 °C (JEDEC table) | 14 weeks |
| JEDEC: the use a consumer SSD's rating assumes | 8 hours a day at 40 °C |
| JEDEC: the use an enterprise SSD's rating assumes | 24 hours a day at 55 °C |
| c't: 3D TLC flash, rated cycles and retention | 1,500 to 3,000 cycles |
| Hobbyist test, year two, as Tom's Hardware reported it | 4 corrupt files |
Sources: JEDEC Solid State Technology Association; Dell Technologies; HTWingNut; heise online / c't magazin; Tom's Hardware
Related guides: Back up your entire computer · Back up to an external hard drive
For SSDs the standard is JEDEC's JESD218: a consumer SSD that has used up its rated endurance must keep data unpowered for a year at room temperature, and an enterprise SSD for three months. A new SSD keeps data far longer, and storage temperature changes the time sharply. The widely shared warning that an unpowered SSD loses data in a week came from JEDEC's figures for worn drives stored hot. Hard drives store data magnetically and have no such standard; archivists recommend fresh copies every few years.

Sources: JEDEC Solid State Technology Association; Crucial; Dell Technologies; Western Digital; heise online / c't magazin; HTWingNut; Tom's Hardware
Some SAS SSDs would fail at exactly 32,768 hours of operation unless their firmware was updated (HPE, 2019).

| Event and measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| HPE SAS SSDs: the second bug, 2020 | 40,000 hours |
| HPE SAS SSDs: the third bug, 2021 | 70,000 hours |
| Dell enterprise SAS SSDs | 40,000 hours |
| Micron 5100 SSDs, Cisco notice, 2026 | 65,535 hours |
| Intel D3-S4510 and D3-S4610 SSDs, 2019 | 1,700 hours |
| Seagate ST3000DM001: first-year rate in its own testing, per the plaintiffs' expert | 2.621% |
| IBM Deskstar 75GXP settlement, per failed drive, 2005 | $100 |
| Fujitsu MPG settlement, per drive with lost data, 2003 | Up to $1,200 |
| Phison's tests of the 2025 Windows 11 update reports | over 4,500 hours |
| Lexar USB flash drives recalled for a burn hazard, 2006 | About 66,000 |
Sources: Hewlett Packard Enterprise (2021, 2020, 2019); United States District Court, Northern District of California (2026, 2021, 2018); Crucial; Dell Technologies; Cisco Systems; Microsoft; IBM Deskstar 75GXP Litigation settlement administrator; The Register; Phison Electronics; U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission
Related guides: A broken or dead computer · Back up your entire computer
Some of the most sudden drive failures were not wear at all but bugs in the drive's own firmware. Several SSD lines stopped working at an exact count of power-on hours, so that drives installed together failed together. Defects in consumer drives led to replacement programs and class actions; no hard drive or SSD has been recalled in the US for losing data.
Sources: Hewlett Packard Enterprise (2019, 2020); Dell Technologies; Cisco Systems; Broadcom; Intel Corporation, archived by Solidigm; ComputerBase; Samsung Semiconductor; Puget Systems; Western Digital (2020, 2023); United States District Court, Northern District of California (2017-2026); Phison Electronics; BleepingComputer; Windows Report; AnandTech, reporting Samsung's disclosure; AnandTech, quoting Samsung's statement; The Register (2003, 2024); Apple (2011, 2015, 2018); MacTech; Seagate Technology; IBM Deskstar 75GXP Litigation settlement administrator; U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission (1999, 2006, 2009)
Professional recovery of one hard drive can cost $300 to over $3,000 (SalvageData, 2026).

| Source and measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| ACS: physical hard-drive recovery | $900 to $2,500+ |
| ACS: a common quote for a head failure now | $3,000+ |
| Rossmann: SATA and NVMe SSD recovery | $200 to $2,500 |
| Secure Data Recovery: its claimed success rate (no published definition) | 96% |
| Recovery labs: unrecoverable cases lost to physical damage | 20.7% |
| Ontrack customers who had had an SSD fail, 2016 | 38% |
| Kroll Ontrack survey: lost data after an SSD malfunction, 2015 | 61% |
| US adults who have lost data from any cause, 2025 | 70.7% |
| Data-loss incidents caused by hardware failure, 2025 | 30% |
| Kroll Ontrack customers blaming a hardware failure, 2014 | 66% |
Sources: SalvageData Recovery Services; Secure Data Recovery Services (2026, 2024); Rossmann Repair Group; Payam Data Recovery; Deloitte; Data Recovery Association of Japan; ACS Data Recovery; DeepSpar Data Recovery Systems; Ontrack; Kroll Ontrack (2015, 2014); Handy Recovery Advisor
Related guides: A broken or dead computer · A hard drive with bad sectors
Recovering data from a drive that has failed physically means a clean-room repair, and US labs publish prices from a few hundred dollars for a simple job to several thousand for failed heads or an NVMe SSD. Success is not guaranteed: severe platter damage can make data unrecoverable. Surveys find that around half of people have lost files to a computer or drive failure at some point.

Sources: Secure Data Recovery Services (2024, 2026); Payam Data Recovery; DeepSpar Data Recovery Systems; Ontrack (2014, 2016, 2021); Data Recovery Association of Japan (2016-2025); Kroll Ontrack (2014, 2015); EaseUS Software; Handy Recovery Advisor; Deloitte
10% of pressed CDs were estimated to fail in under 25 years in accelerated-ageing tests (Library of Congress, 2009).

| Disc type | Average longevity |
|---|---|
| CD-R, phthalocyanine dye, gold layer | over 100 years |
| CD-R, phthalocyanine dye, silver alloy layer | 50 to 100 years |
| CD-R, cyanine or azo dye, silver alloy layer | 20 to 50 years |
| Read-only CD (audio CD, CD-ROM) | 50 to 100 years |
| DVD-R, gold layer | 50 to 100 years |
| DVD-R, silver alloy layer | 10 to 20 years |
| DVD+R, silver alloy layer | 20 to 50 years |
| DVD+R DL (dual layer) | 5 to 10 years |
| Read-only DVD or Blu-ray (movie discs) | 10 to 20 years |
| Rewritable CD-RW, DVD+RW, BD-RE | 20 to 50 years |
Sources: Library of Congress, Preservation Research and Testing Division; Canadian Conservation Institute; Laboratoire national de métrologie et d'essais; Samsung Electronics; LTO Program; Library of Congress
Related guides: Back up your entire computer · Transfer with a USB drive
Pressed CDs held up best in the Library of Congress's tests, and recordable discs varied by dye and metal far more than by brand; recordable Blu-ray shares the lowest rating of any disc with dual-layer DVD+R. Memory cards and USB sticks come with endurance ratings and warranties but no published failure rates. Tape makers rate their cartridges for decades, and cloud providers publish design targets for durability. Archivists' advice is the same for every medium: make new copies every five to ten years.
| Disc type | Average longevity |
|---|---|
| CD-R, phthalocyanine dye, gold layer | over 100 years |
| CD-R, phthalocyanine dye, silver alloy layer | 50 to 100 years |
| CD-R, cyanine or azo dye, silver alloy layer | 20 to 50 years |
| Read-only CD (audio CD, CD-ROM) | 50 to 100 years |
| DVD-R, gold layer | 50 to 100 years |
| DVD-R, silver alloy layer | 10 to 20 years |
| DVD+R, silver alloy layer | 20 to 50 years |
| DVD+R DL (dual layer) | 5 to 10 years |
| Read-only DVD or Blu-ray (movie discs) | 10 to 20 years |
| BD-R, dye or non-dye (recordable Blu-ray) | 5 to 10 years |
| BD-R, non-dye, gold layer | 10 to 20 years |
| Rewritable CD-RW, DVD+RW, BD-RE | 20 to 50 years |
Sources: National Institute of Standards and Technology and Council on Library and Information Resources; National Institute of Standards and Technology; National Institute of Standards and Technology and Library of Congress; Library of Congress, Preservation Research and Testing Division (2009, 2015); US National Archives and Records Administration (2007); Optical Storage Technology Association; Canadian Conservation Institute, in Restaurator 39, 129-155; Canadian Conservation Institute; Millenniata, Inc. (2011, 2013); Laboratoire national de métrologie et d'essais; Samsung Electronics (2022, 2026); Sandisk (2026); Kingston Technology (2024, 2026); Lexar; Matt Cole; Council on Library and Information Resources, research by the Library of Congress Preservation Research and Testing Division and FUJIFILM Recording Media Products Division; Council on Library and Information Resources, research by the Library of Congress and FUJIFILM; LTO Program (2022, 2025); FUJIFILM Corporation and JEITA; Amazon Web Services (2018, 2026); Microsoft; Google Cloud; Backblaze; Library of Congress; US National Archives and Records Administration, Code of Federal Regulations; The National Archives; Sony; Nature
124.3 million hard drives shipped worldwide in 2025, about a fifth of the 651 million of 2010 (Coughlin Associates, 2026).

| Measure and date | Figure |
|---|---|
| Data-centre (nearline) hard drives shipped, 2025 | 80.8 million |
| Hard-drive capacity shipped, 2025 | 1.62 ZB |
| Hard-drive makers left after 2012 | 3 |
| Hard-drive price per gigabyte, 2025 | $0.015-0.016 per GB |
| Flash wafer contract prices, November 2025 | 20% to over 60% |
| PC prices in 2026 against 2025 (forecast) | +17% (forecast) |
| Steam survey PCs with more than 1 TB of storage, October 2026 | 48.6% |
| Hard-drive assembly capacity shut by the 2011 Thailand floods | about 45% |
| Seagate's average price per drive after the floods, fiscal 2012 | $66 (from $54) |
| Branded (mostly external) hard drives shipped, Q4 2014 | about 17 million |
Sources: Forbes; StorageNewsletter (2013-2022); Seagate Technology (2025, 2013, 2012); Avast; TrendForce (2025a, 2025b, 2025c); Gartner, Inc.; Valve; Western Digital Corporation; Tom's Hardware
Related guides: A new PC with an SSD · Clone or transfer
Hard drives have left most PCs: SSDs outsold them from 2020 and are in nearly every new laptop. But hard drives still hold most of the world's data, because data centres buy them for capacity, and the exabytes they ship keep rising while unit sales fall. Three makers remain. In 2025 and 2026 demand for AI storage stretched both hard-drive and flash supply, and prices rose.










Sources: StorageNewsletter (2011-2024); Forbes (2023, 2025, 2026); Tom's Hardware; Western Digital Corporation (2010-2026); Seagate Technology (2010-2026); TrendForce (2016-2026); TRENDFOCUS; Avast (2017, 2019); Valve; Gartner, Inc.; Backblaze (2013, 2015, 2022); Hitachi Global Storage Technologies; HGST, a Western Digital company; Western Digital
Hard drives last only 3 to 5 years, a device-repair company tells readers, citing no measurement (Asurion, 2026).
| Page and claim | Figure claimed |
|---|---|
| Tom's Hardware: '21 percentage points lower' (2026) | 1.36% |
| IBTimes: 'unpowered SSDs lose data in a week' (2015) | a week |
| Ontrack: 'unpowered SSD data safe at least 10 years' (2016) | at least 10 years |
| GamersNexus: 'Seagate 14% annual failure rate' (2014) | 14% |
| Sandisk: '600 TBW at 20 GB a day is 82.2 years' (2025) | 82.2 years |
| Enterprise Storage Forum: 'oxide layer lasts 342 years' (2023) | 342 years |
| XDA: 'one brand fails twice as often' (2026) | twice as often |
| Phiston: 'median HDD life 6 years 9 months' (2024) | 6 years 9 months |
| Newegg: 'three to five years' credited to Backblaze (2021) | 3 to 5 years |
| Japanese site: 'HDD life 10,000 hours, 3 to 4 years' (2026) | 10,000 hours (3 to 4 years) |
Sources: Asurion; Mobile Outfitters; Enterprise Storage Forum (2023a, 2023b); Kingston Technology; N-able; BGR; Tom's Hardware; International Business Times UK; Ontrack; GamersNexus; SanDisk; XDA Developers; Phiston Technologies; Newegg; Exidea
The figures most often given for drive lifespans have no measurement behind them, or come from a real study whose measure changed on the way: an average age of failed drives turned into a lifespan, a population rating into years, one company's SSDs set against another's hard drives. Each figure below is what a page that ranks or is widely cited says, traced to its origin, or to none; a few restate their source faithfully.
Sources: Asurion; Secure Data Recovery Services; SalvageData Recovery Services (2026); Prosoft Engineering; Newegg; KingSpec; Ontrack (2016, 2020); IPVM; Enterprise Storage Forum (2023); Microflash; Archiware; Datarecovery.com; EaseUS; Chronodisk; Exidea; Crucial; N-able (2019); SanDisk; Kingston Technology (2026); Phiston Technologies; XDA Developers (2026); PCWorld (2015, 2024); MakeUseOf; OSCOO; ITIGIC; GamersNexus; TechSpot; Network World; Tom's Hardware; BGR; Lifehacker; Production Expert; ULINK Technology; ComputerWeekly.de; W&V; Tom's Guide France; @IT; Mobile Outfitters; Wikipedia; Ask Leo!; Clubic; International Business Times UK; Payam Data Recovery
Data. All 1,254 statistics on this page, each with its source, verbatim quote and locator: CSV · JSON. Charts and figures on this page may be reused with a link to https://www.zinstall.com/research/hard-drive-ssd-lifespan-statistics as the source. Original publishers retain attribution.
What we included. Backblaze's own Drive Stats reports, workbooks and data files; peer-reviewed and industry field studies (Google, Carnegie Mellon, Microsoft, NetApp, Alibaba, Facebook, Tencent, EMC, the University of Toronto, the University of Essex and others); the makers' datasheets, warranty pages and support notices; JEDEC's standards; retailers' and system builders' published return and failure records (hardware.fr for the French retailer LDLC, Puget Systems); recovery labs' and industry associations' published case data and prices; archives' and standards bodies' studies of discs and tape; filings and analysts' figures on shipments; court records; and the restatements of all of these on the pages that rank for drive-lifespan searches, traced to their origin. A few figures are this page's own arithmetic on published numbers (totals by maker summed from Backblaze's model tables, MTBF converted to an annual rate, values read from a study's chart), labelled derived with the method in each record. Official statistics, the trackers' own publications, company filings and transcripts, and peer-reviewed or analyst reports are preferred; vendor surveys and news reports are included only where no better source exists and are labelled as such in the dataset.
How each figure was verified. Every record carries the exact sentence or table cell from the source (the quote) and where it sits (the locator). A researcher confirmed each one against the source document; a script then re-fetched every source on November 4, 2026 and checked for the quote. Records the script could not confirm are kept only if the researcher's check was complete, and are marked for human review in the dataset. Restatements (a later outlet quoting an earlier figure) are recorded as restatements, with the primary figure alongside.
What we excluded. Lifespans with no measurement behind them (they appear only as restatement records, traced); figures whose only source is a roundup, a forum post or a content farm; a copy of a study when the original could be read (a machine-extracted slide copy of a 2017 study is held back until the paper is checked); and any first-party Zinstall data. Where a source gives a figure only in a form we could not confirm (for example, a chart with no data table), the record is marked unverified and is not exported.
Rounding and derivation. Numbers are reproduced as published. Where a tracker publishes two decimals, statements and table cells give one decimal, rounded half up, and the dataset keeps the published value. In the short sentences at the top of the page and of each section, large counts and money amounts may be rounded to two or three significant figures; the exact figure follows in the section's full statements and in the dataset. Derived figures (a change between two months, a share computed from two counts) say so and name their inputs. The bold figure in each statement is a reading aid, not an edit.
Updates. Sources are re-checked and new figures added quarterly, with the monthly tracker series topped up as they are published; the next scheduled refresh is February 2027 (Backblaze's 2026 annual report), then each Backblaze quarterly report. Corrections are welcome through the contact page.
Measures. Each figure is given in its publisher's measure. An annualized failure rate counts failures per drive-year of running time; a replacement rate counts drives replaced, which includes drives pulled before they died; a return rate counts drives sent back to a retailer as faulty; a recovery lab's counts describe only the drives sent to it. MTBF, AFR specifications, TBW and warranties are makers' ratings, not measured lives. Backblaze's drives, and most field studies' drives, run around the clock in data centres.
Zinstall. "How Long Do SSDs and Hard Drives Last? Drive Lifespan and Failure-Rate Statistics." https://www.zinstall.com/research/hard-drive-ssd-lifespan-statistics. Updated 2026-11-04.
Most last well beyond four years in measured fleets: about 90% of Backblaze's data-centre hard drives were still working at four years and 65% at six, by its December 2021 analysis, and the age at which failures peak rose from about three years in its 2013 data to over ten in 2025. No study has measured home PCs' drives the same way; '3 to 5 years' has no measurement behind it.
SSD fleets in data centres have failed or been replaced at about 0.2% to 1.2% a year, and almost never because they wore out: in a Google data centre almost 98% of SSD failures came before the drives had used half their rated write cycles. In write-to-death tests, consumer SSDs wrote hundreds of terabytes to petabytes before dying, far past their ratings.
Where one organisation ran both at the same age, yes. Backblaze's SSD boot drives failed at 0.92% a year in their fifth year of service, against 3.55% for its hard-drive boot drives, and Intel's laptop SSDs failed at 0.61% a year against 4.85% for the laptop hard drives it had used before.
In Backblaze's data centres, 1.36% of hard drives failed in 2025. Older field studies found higher rates: about 3% of drives replaced a year on average at the systems Carnegie Mellon studied in 2007, several times the 0.58% to 0.88% their datasheets implied, and 3.16% across nine Microsoft data centres.
No maker or fleet publishes a failure rate for external drives. Among 3,453 failed external hard drives sent to one US recovery lab from 2023 to 2026, 60.8% had run less than a year; drops, power surges and heat were among the leading causes. Warranties run one to five years.
JEDEC's standard requires a consumer SSD at the end of its rated endurance to keep data for a year unpowered at 30 °C, and an enterprise SSD for three months at 40 °C. A new drive keeps data far longer: Crucial says several years. Heat shortens it.
It depends on the model more than the brand. In Backblaze's data centres, Western Digital drives have failed at 0.60% a year over their lifetime to mid-2026 and HGST's at 1.96%, while a 2026 analysis of the same data that held age and capacity constant found HGST failing at about 41% of Seagate's rate.
No. MTBF describes a population: 1.5 million hours means about 0.58% of a large group of drives running around the clock failing each year. Seagate says MTBF ratings do not promise decades of operation, and that the MTBF its drives achieve in the field is typically 50% to 60% of the projected figure.
Sources: Backblaze (2021-2026); USENIX, Proceedings of the 18th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; USENIX, Proceedings of the 19th USENIX Conference on File and Storage Technologies; ACM / IEEE, Proceedings of the International Conference; The Tech Report; Intel Corporation, on Intel's own fleet and Intel's own SSD product; Carnegie Mellon University; Rutgers University, GoDaddy and Microsoft; Secure Data Recovery Services; JEDEC Solid State Technology Association; Crucial; University of Essex and Sungkyunkwan University; Seagate Technology
Every source document behind the figures on this page, listed by publisher. The sources line under each section links each publisher to its document, and the dataset carries the verbatim quote and locator for every statistic.
Loading the list of sources. It is also published as a file: JSON.